New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Owing to rapid urbanization in the developing world, the volume of urban construction for housing. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. Several innovations are included in global trends 2030, including. The analytic arm of the office of the director of national.
T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Designed as a multifaceted project, this book presents an integrated assessment covering a wide range of policy areas and alternative assumptions about trends in. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. This analysis is embedded within the framework of the european strategy and policy analysis system espas set up to develop a lasting framework to assess global trends and to develop policy responses across eu institutions over the next institutional cycle 20142019.
Great power stability, the empowerment of women, and the deterrent effects of nuclear weapons. The nic is sponsoring this website to provide a forum where guest bloggers can discuss selected topics to be raised in the nics upcoming global trends 2030 gt2030 publication. Challenges for europe in the world, 2030 by john eatwell. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Global megatrends for the next 20 years and how they will affect the united states. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. Looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. The international system remains relatively unchanged since western allies, led by the united states, created the post world war ii international architecture to contain communism and create conditions for prosperity and peace especially their prosperity and peace. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges.
Overview of the national intelligence council report on. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading envisioning 2030. A dialogue about the future with nongovernment experts. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Councils series aimed at providing a framework for. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Books by national research council author of global. We explored the implications of various trends and discontinuities over. Global trends 2030 by progressive management overdrive. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Hallows eve celebrations food concepts 2015 easypumpkin almond pudding. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world.
The empowerment of individuals and diffusion of power among states and from states to informal networks will have a dramatic impact. A transformed world globalizing economy, demographics of discord, new players, scarcity in the midst of plenty, potential for conflict, powersharing in a multipolar world by progressive management available from rakuten kobo. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential large. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Us strategy for a postwestern world kindle edition by manning, robert a. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for. Le menu individual empowerment majority of world s population wont be impoverished. Individual empowerment majority of world s population wont be impoverished. This report analyses key societal challenges for the eu until 2030 by exploring the evidence base and uncertainties underpinning global trends in areas such as migration, employment, inequality or empowerment and their impact on the eu. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the ra. Challenges for europe in the world, 2030 embodies critical thinking about the longterm implications for europe of the clear shift of power from the west to the east and the south. This is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Demand for both skilled and unskilled labor will spur global migration.
Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance. This research report forms part of our series on global societal trends and their impact on the eu in 2030. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. Global trends represents how the nic is thinking about the future. By 2030, no countrywhether the us, china, or any other large countrywill be a hegemonic power. We may not be able to provide a linear, predetermined chart from port of departure to port of arrival. A critique of global trends 2030alternative worlds no access. About this site global trends 2030 alternative worlds. Revisioning the nic 2030 scenarios richard watson, oliver. Global trends 2030 identifies a number of other factors pertinent to the future probability of war, including power transitions, declining us military superiority, resource scarcity, new coercive technologies. Against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030.
Examining global societal trends and their impact on the eu. The nic is sponsoring this website to provide a forum where guest bloggers can discuss selected topics to be raised in the nics upcoming global trends 2030 gt2030. It does not represent the official, coordinated view of the us intelligence community nor us policy. But the middle easts trajectory will depend on its political landscape. Some of the examined probable futures are optimistic but some are very scary as well. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. Longtime readers will note that this edition does not reference a year in the title the previous edition was global trends 2030 because we think doing so conveys a false precision. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012.
Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or. Alternative worlds volume 5 by intelligence council at over 30 bookstores. The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Government entity, operating as part of the office of the director of national intelligence odni. Aging countries will face an uphill battle in maintaining their living standards. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. Alternative worlds le menu office of the director of national intelligence national intelligence council starters main courses dessert charts. Alternative worlds kindle edition by national intelligence council. On the one hand, if the islamic republic maintains power in iran and is able to develop nuclear weapons, the middle east will face a highly unstable future. Pdf download for revisioning the nic 2030 scenarios open epub for. Therefore food, you should have arborio wheat, milk, sugar, vanilla flavor beans, grated reddish colored strength, redcolored drink, kosher sea, processed pumpkin coupled with brown lightly blood sugar. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. About this site the national intelligence council nic is a u. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Jack port this can be a very emotionally charged narrative, but it really helps to support your own factor.
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